Merz and Macron seek immediate EU trade action as 2025 China deficit reaches about €360 billion
The German and French leaders have asked the European Commission for stronger tools, including supply-chain safeguards and possible rapid exclusion from the single market. Their informal proposal comes amid sharply different EU and Chinese accounts of their 2025 trade balance with each other.
The EU reported this trade deficit with China for 2025.2
China's statisticians reported this deficit with the EU for the same year, using a different currency.2
A qualified majority vote requires at least this share of EU member states, as well as at least 65% of the bloc's population.2
Story
A push for stronger EU trade toolsThe European Union reported a trade deficit with China of approximately €360 billion in 2025, a measure of the imbalance at the centre of a Franco-German call for immediate action.12 German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron want the bloc to address that imbalance with stronger trade measures.1 Their request covers safeguards for industries including chemicals and machinery, rather than only a general appeal to reduce the trade gap.1 The two leaders argue that existing EU trade instruments cannot adequately meet the situation they describe, and have asked for action without delay.12
The appeal took the form of a joint submission from Merz and Macron to the European Commission on Monday.2 It was sent shortly before EU trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic was due to travel to Beijing.2 An EU leaders' summit is also scheduled for October 15-16, placing the proposal in a period that includes both a planned China visit by the trade commissioner and a meeting of EU leaders.2 The appeal does not identify a country by name, though the account of the proposal says it appears aimed at China's trade policy and the United States under President Donald Trump.2
“Geoeconomic risks”Friedrich Merz and Emmanuel Macron, Deutsche Welle top stories
The joint letter, addressed to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, lays out two proposed measures.2 One would encourage companies to diversify their supply chains and limit excessive dependence on a single supplier.2 That proposal addresses supplier concentration by seeking more varied sources, rather than setting out a specific industry target or numerical threshold.2 The other measure would allow a country to be excluded quickly from the European single market when exceptional circumstances warranted such a step.2
The proposed exclusion is linked to conduct by a country outside the EU that deliberately disrupts fair market conditions and causes major distortions within the single market.2 The appeal therefore presents exclusion not as a routine response to trade differences, but as an option tied to the specified conditions of intentional disruption and exceptional circumstances.2 The letter also describes the Union's problems with global competitiveness and its reliance on certain suppliers as sources of geoeconomic risk.2 Together, the proposals address both the structure of supply relationships and the possibility of restricting access to the single market in a serious case.2
The document is a non-paper, an informal and nonbinding way of putting forward ideas and starting discussion within the EU.2 Its proposals therefore set out possible tools rather than establish that either measure has already become EU policy.2 Under the suggested process, the Commission could initiate action independently, while member states would retain the option to stop it through a qualified majority vote.2 That voting threshold requires support from at least 55% of member states, representing no less than 65% of the EU's population.2
The proposed process assigns an initial role to the Commission while preserving a route for member states to block its action through the specified vote.2 The proposal thus describes a decision-making arrangement, not a completed decision to exclude a country or apply a safeguard.2 The leaders' stated concern is that the instruments already available to the EU are no longer sufficient.2 Their letter links that concern to competitiveness difficulties and reliance on particular suppliers, which it characterizes as geoeconomic risks.2
The EU's reported 2025 deficit with China was approximately €360 billion, while China's statisticians put the deficit with the EU for the same year at $292 billion.2 Those figures come from the two sides' own statistical accounts and use different currencies, so they should be kept distinct rather than treated as a directly interchangeable pair.2 The reported amounts describe the trade balance between the EU and China, not the number of companies or industries affected by the proposed measures.2 The appeal separately names chemicals and machinery as industries for which European leaders are seeking safeguards and other trade measures.1
The EU depends particularly on China for rare earth materials, and relies on both China and the United States for high-tech imports and services.2 That dependence gives the supply-diversification proposal a wider reach than the named concerns about chemicals and machinery alone.12 It also connects the leaders' concern about reliance on suppliers to the EU's stated exposure in materials, imports and services.2 The appeal's possible focus on China and the United States is consistent with its stated interest in supplier reliance and trade conditions, although it names neither country as its target.2
Beijing has warned that it could respond with its own measures if it considers the EU's plans necessary grounds for retaliation.2 That warning places a possible response alongside the EU proposals, without establishing that either side has taken the measures described.2 For now, the Franco-German submission is an informal proposal to the Commission, with two possible tools and a suggested process for Commission action and member-state review.2 Its stated case rests on the trade imbalance, concerns about competitiveness and dependence on suppliers, and a claim that the EU's current instruments are inadequate.12
Disagreements
Where the sources do not matchReported EU-China trade deficit for 2025
Deutsche Welle top stories2
Deutsche Welle top stories2
Possibly: The accounts give different figures in different currencies. The facts do not establish why the underlying calculations differ.
History
How it came to this- MondayMerz and Macron submit a joint appealThe leaders sent their appeal to the European Commission, saying the EU's available trade instruments are no longer adequate.
- Shortly before Sefcovic's Beijing visitThe appeal precedes a planned China visitThe submission came shortly before the EU trade commissioner's scheduled visit to Beijing.
- 2025The EU reports a trade deficit with ChinaThe EU put the deficit at approximately €360 billion; China's statisticians reported a different figure in dollars.
- Nowapproximately €360 billion EU-reported trade deficit with China in 2025
- October 15-16An EU leaders' summit is scheduled; it is a relevant watch point for the appeal and its proposed trade measures.
Impact
Spreading outward, level by level- Level 1EU trade policy proposal
The leaders seek immediate action and safeguards for industries including chemicals and machinery; their letter proposes supply-chain diversification and possible rapid single-market exclusion in exceptional circumstances.12
Fact - Level 2Commission and member-state decision process
The nonbinding non-paper proposes that the Commission could act independently, with member states able to block the move through a qualified majority vote.2
Fact - Level 3Supplier dependence and geoeconomic risk
The leaders link competitiveness difficulties and reliance on suppliers to geoeconomic risks. The EU is particularly dependent on China for rare earth materials and relies on both China and the United States for high-tech imports and services.2
Fact - Level 4Potential response from Beijing
Beijing has warned it might retaliate if it views the EU's plans as grounds for its own measures; the facts do not establish that retaliation has occurred.2
Fact
Ahead
Checked automatically when due; the result goes to the track recordAn EU leaders' summit is scheduled; it is a relevant watch point for the appeal and its proposed trade measures.
Watch for the EU trade commissioner's scheduled visit to Beijing, which the appeal preceded.
Sources
What each source supportsWritten by AI from the sources listed below: every fact was checked word for word against its source, and inference is marked apart. How we write