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In depthStablePolicyFirst published 2026-10-17 16:00

Merz and Macron seek immediate EU trade action as 2025 China deficit reaches about €360 billion

The German and French leaders have asked the European Commission for stronger tools, including supply-chain safeguards and possible rapid exclusion from the single market. Their informal proposal comes amid sharply different EU and Chinese accounts of their 2025 trade balance with each other.

approximately €360 billion

The EU reported this trade deficit with China for 2025.2

$292 billion

China's statisticians reported this deficit with the EU for the same year, using a different currency.2

55%

A qualified majority vote requires at least this share of EU member states, as well as at least 65% of the bloc's population.2

Story

A push for stronger EU trade tools

12 1 1 12

2 2 2 2

“Geoeconomic risks”Friedrich Merz and Emmanuel Macron, Deutsche Welle top stories

2 2 2 2

2 2 2 2

2 2 2 2

2 2 2 2

2 2 2 1

2 12 2 2

2 2 2 12

Disagreements

Where the sources do not match

Reported EU-China trade deficit for 2025

approximately €360 billion
EU-reported deficit with China
Deutsche Welle top stories2
vs
$292 billion
China's statisticians' deficit with the EU
Deutsche Welle top stories2

Possibly: The accounts give different figures in different currencies. The facts do not establish why the underlying calculations differ.

History

How it came to this
  1. MondayMerz and Macron submit a joint appealThe leaders sent their appeal to the European Commission, saying the EU's available trade instruments are no longer adequate.
  2. Shortly before Sefcovic's Beijing visitThe appeal precedes a planned China visitThe submission came shortly before the EU trade commissioner's scheduled visit to Beijing.
  3. 2025The EU reports a trade deficit with ChinaThe EU put the deficit at approximately €360 billion; China's statisticians reported a different figure in dollars.
  4. Nowapproximately €360 billion EU-reported trade deficit with China in 2025
  5. October 15-16An EU leaders' summit is scheduled; it is a relevant watch point for the appeal and its proposed trade measures.

Impact

Spreading outward, level by level
  1. Level 1EU trade policy proposal

    The leaders seek immediate action and safeguards for industries including chemicals and machinery; their letter proposes supply-chain diversification and possible rapid single-market exclusion in exceptional circumstances.12

    Fact
  2. Level 2Commission and member-state decision process

    The nonbinding non-paper proposes that the Commission could act independently, with member states able to block the move through a qualified majority vote.2

    Fact
  3. Level 3Supplier dependence and geoeconomic risk

    The leaders link competitiveness difficulties and reliance on suppliers to geoeconomic risks. The EU is particularly dependent on China for rare earth materials and relies on both China and the United States for high-tech imports and services.2

    Fact
  4. Level 4Potential response from Beijing

    Beijing has warned it might retaliate if it views the EU's plans as grounds for its own measures; the facts do not establish that retaliation has occurred.2

    Fact

Ahead

Checked automatically when due; the result goes to the track record
October 15-16

An EU leaders' summit is scheduled; it is a relevant watch point for the appeal and its proposed trade measures.

WatchingTrack record
Upcoming; date not stated

Watch for the EU trade commissioner's scheduled visit to Beijing, which the appeal preceded.

WatchingTrack record

Sources

What each source supports
1
Nikkei Asia
2026-10-16 18:20
Original ↗
Supports 2 points
2
Deutsche Welle top stories
2026-10-05 17:23
Original ↗
Supports 22 points
Citing: European Commission, EU, China's statisticians

Written by AI from the sources listed below: every fact was checked word for word against its source, and inference is marked apart. How we write

2026-10-16 21:12 First published